Xencor Inc (XNCR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 EPS significantly beat consensus on non-operating gains: GAAP EPS of $(0.08) vs S&P Global consensus $(0.67), driven by $41.5M of other income (unrealized gains on marketable equity securities) . Revenue of $21.0M missed consensus $28.7M, reflecting lumpy non-cash royalty/milestone timing .
- Cash guidance raised again: year-end 2025 cash, cash equivalents and marketable debt securities guided to $570–$590M (from $555–$585M in Q2 and $535–$585M in Q1), with runway into 2028 .
- Pipeline momentum: initial Phase 1 data for XmAb819 (ENPP3 x CD3) showed 25% PR rate within target dose range in heavily pre-treated ccRCC; Phase 3 dose selection expected in 2026 with pivotal start in 2027. XmAb541 (CLDN6 x CD3) showed early responses; autoimmune programs advanced (first patient dosed in XENITH-UC Phase 2b; first RA patient dosed with plamotamab) .
- Stock reaction catalysts ahead: continued 819/541 dose-escalation and expansion readouts, autoimmune readouts and partner programs (Amgen xaluritamig in Phase 3; Astellas ASP2138 planning registrational studies; Zenas obexelimab pivotal readouts around YE 2025–mid-2026) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- EPS beat was substantial: net loss narrowed to $6.0M (EPS $(0.08)) versus $(46.3)M (EPS $(0.72)) YoY; other income of $41.5M drove the improvement .
- Oncology TCEs delivered compelling signals: XmAb819 showed 25% PR and 70% DCR within target dose range; no treatment-related ICANS; low Grade 3 CRS when correct priming dose used .
- Strengthening guidance and runway: YE25 cash guidance increased to $570–$590M; runway into 2028 maintained .
“Xencor’s two novel, first-in-class, CD3 T-cell engaging bispecific antibodies, XmAb819 and XmAb541, have demonstrated compelling clinical data… We expect to identify recommended Phase 3 doses during 2026 to support initiation of pivotal studies during 2027.” — Bassil Dahiyat, Ph.D., President & CEO .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue miss vs consensus: $21.0M actual vs $28.7M* estimate; quarterly revenue primarily non-cash royalties and milestone timing, which can be volatile .
- Operating performance still loss-making: operating loss of $(47.5)M; EBIT margin remained deeply negative on a small revenue base despite YoY opex reductions .
- R&D remains heavy though trending down QoQ: R&D was $54.4M (vs $61.7M in Q2), reflecting spend on advancing multiple programs .
Financial Results
Quarterly trend
Note: Asterisked values retrieved from S&P Global.
Q3 context (YoY and sequential)
Q3 2025 vs S&P Global consensus
Note: Asterisked values retrieved from S&P Global.
KPIs and notes:
- Total operating expenses: $68.5M in Q3 2025 vs $73.0M in Q3 2024 .
- Weighted-average shares: 74.4M in Q3 2025 vs 64.0M in Q3 2024 .
- Liabilities related to sales of future royalties (LT): $87.8M at 9/30/25 .
Segment/Revenue composition: Company reports a single revenue line “Collaborations, milestones, and royalties,” primarily non-cash royalties from Alexion and Incyte in Q3 .
Guidance Changes
No revenue, margin, opex, OI&E or tax-rate guidance provided in-company materials for Q3. Guidance relates to balance sheet liquidity and runway .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q3 2025 earnings-call transcript was available in our document set as of Nov 20, 2025; themes reflect company press releases and 8-K commentary.
Management Commentary
- “We expect to identify recommended Phase 3 doses during 2026 to support initiation of pivotal studies during 2027.” — Bassil Dahiyat, Ph.D., President & CEO .
- “XmAb819 demonstrated compelling anti-tumor activity and a well-tolerated safety profile… We are confident that we will be able to select a recommended Phase 3 dose during 2026 to support the initiation of our first pivotal study in advanced ccRCC during 2027.” — Bassil Dahiyat, Ph.D. .
- Autoimmune execution: first patient dosed in XENITH-UC (XmAb942) and in RA study (plamotamab), with plans to start XmAb657 (CD19 TCE) by YE25 and XmAb412 (TL1A x IL23p19) in 2026 .
Q&A Highlights
- No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our document set as of Nov 20, 2025; therefore, Q&A highlights and any guidance clarifications from the call could not be reviewed. We will update this section upon transcript availability.
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025: Revenue $21.0M vs S&P Global consensus $28.7M* (miss), EPS $(0.08) vs S&P Global consensus $(0.67)* (beat). The EPS beat was principally non-operating, driven by $41.5M of other income (unrealized gains on marketable equity securities) .
- Prior quarters for context: Q1 revenue $32.7M vs $24.8M*; EPS $(0.66) vs $(0.55). Q2 revenue $43.6M vs $22.6M; EPS $(0.41) vs $(0.68)*. Variability largely reflects milestone and non-cash royalty recognition .
Note: Asterisked values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- EPS beat quality is low from a core-ops perspective; it was driven by unrealized gains in marketable equity securities, which are inherently volatile and not reflective of operating trends .
- Revenue volatility persists given reliance on non-cash royalties and milestones; the Q3 revenue miss underscores quarter-to-quarter lumpiness .
- Oncology TCE pipeline de-risking: XmAb819 and XmAb541 are showing early efficacy; 819’s 2026 Ph3 dose selection and 2027 pivotal start provide a clearer regulatory path and potential medium-term value inflection .
- Autoimmune portfolio execution: first dosing in the XENITH-UC Phase 2b TL1A trial and RA PoC with plamotamab demonstrate steady advancement; additional program starts (XmAb657 in 2025, XmAb412 in 2026) add breadth .
- Liquidity position strengthened: YE25 cash guidance raised to $570–$590M with runway into 2028, supporting continued clinical investment without near-term capital needs .
- External optionality: multiple partner programs progressing (Amgen’s xaluritamig in Phase 3; Astellas’ ASP2138 eyeing registrational start; Zenas obexelimab readouts near-term), creating potential for milestones and future royalties .
- Trading setup: Watch for additional 819/541 expansion data, autoimmune enrollment progress, and partner catalysts; EPS may normalize as other income reverts, so focus on revenue/milestone cadence and opex discipline for core trend assessment .
Citations:
- Q3 2025 8-K press release, financials, programs, and guidance .
- Q2 2025 8-K press release, financials, programs, and guidance .
- Q1 2025 8-K press release, financials, programs, and guidance .
- XmAb819 initial data press release (AACR-NCI-EORTC) .
- XmAb819 presentation announcement (AACR-NCI-EORTC) .
- Partner and ecosystem context (Amgen, Astellas, Zenas, Vir) .
Notes:
- Asterisked values retrieved from S&P Global.